Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.521244 0.580878 0.645346 0.720348 0.805366 0.898926 1.009930
2025-03-09 0.433893 0.517123 0.614182 0.736291 0.886598 1.066568 1.299867
2025-03-16 0.375511 0.467429 0.580048 0.729273 0.923432 1.169708 1.509259
2025-03-23 0.338990 0.437142 0.562352 0.735525 0.971529 1.285841 1.742714
2025-03-30 0.304731 0.404677 0.536547 0.725640 0.993708 1.366011 1.932636
2025-04-06 0.278845 0.380046 0.517632 0.721405 1.020758 1.452693 2.138484
2025-04-13 0.249221 0.347186 0.483785 0.691746 1.006722 1.476452 2.250290
2025-04-20 0.234808 0.334323 0.476642 0.699404 1.047405 1.584178 2.502741
2025-04-27 0.222287 0.322956 0.470354 0.707127 1.087952 1.694430 2.770721
2025-05-04 0.210626 0.311797 0.463203 0.712380 1.124291 1.800426 3.042732
2025-05-11 0.199456 0.300435 0.454657 0.714290 1.154694 1.898614 3.311529
2025-05-18 0.190864 0.292367 0.450481 0.722619 1.196063 2.018742 3.633638
2025-05-25 0.177368 0.275789 0.431826 0.705771 1.193349 2.062603 3.821104
2025-06-01 0.171026 0.270337 0.430870 0.718968 1.244922 2.209916 4.229585
2025-06-08 0.161535 0.258999 0.419225 0.712338 1.259495 2.289168 4.510312
2025-06-15 0.155149 0.252388 0.415013 0.718408 1.297880 2.417327 4.909331
2025-06-22 0.146634 0.241582 0.402788 0.708784 1.305202 2.484611 5.185260
2025-06-29 0.139696 0.233056 0.393952 0.704661 1.322668 2.573767 5.521498
2025-07-06 0.129488 0.218192 0.372892 0.675777 1.288106 2.551375 5.597484
2025-07-13 0.125426 0.214008 0.370826 0.683235 1.327973 2.690513 6.074843
2025-07-20 0.121631 0.210064 0.368909 0.690756 1.368514 2.835165 6.586666
2025-07-27 0.117745 0.205715 0.365934 0.695872 1.404293 2.972824 7.101296
2025-08-03 0.113679 0.200791 0.361546 0.697731 1.433079 3.097410 7.600689